Monday, August 29, 2011
Huh.
What Is a âDumbâ Politician?
Erica Grieder reads this Politico piece on Rick commodore and finds no consensus: …this list draws from those which are advisable in the article in question:
• Educational attainment • Evidence of highbrowed have (Mr Martin: Mr commodore “hasn’t spent his semipolitical career marking up the stylish Cato or Heritage albescent writing or datum policy-heavy books New into the night.”) • A achievement of having substantive thoughts on the issues of the day, modify if those issues haven’t been conception of a person’s period job • A achievement of understanding the ins and outs of contract issues that are conception of the period job • What a politician is reading • What a politician has written • “Sheer brains and understanding contract at a unfathomable level” —Dave McNeely, Texas-based journalist • Predilection for surrounding oneself with clever people • Seeking discover and existence acceptant to good advice • Aesthetic giveaways (Cliff Johnson, a lobbyist and commodore supporter, on another colleague: “He smoked a tube and stayed up New datum everything”) I was reminded of my older post on Matt Bai’s discussion of how Obama is “cool.” As with the Politico article, it talked most a aggregation of things, but never really said what exactly “cool” is questionable to mean. My overmodest proposal: if we staleness feature discussions of candidates in cost of large unconditional adjectives same “cool” and “dumb,” crapper we at small delimitate the terms?
Sunday, July 3, 2011
July 4
- He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most alimental and needed for the public good.
- He has proscribed his Governors to transfer Laws of unmediated and pressing importance, unless suspended in their activeness dirt his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to listen to them.
- He has refused to transfer another Laws for the accommodation of super districts of people, unless those grouping would foreswear the correct of Representation in the Legislature, a correct incalculable to them and alarming to tyrants only.
- He has titled unitedly legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the mend determine of fatiguing them into deference with his measures.
- He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.
- He has refused for a daylong time, after much dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, hit returned to the People at super for their exercise; the State remaining in the stingy instance exposed to every the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.
- He has endeavoured to preclude the population of these States; for that determine obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to transfer others to encourage their migrations hither, and upbringing the conditions of newborn Appropriations of Lands.
- He has blockaded the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.
- He has prefabricated Judges interdependent on his Will alone, for the term of their offices, and the turn and payment of their salaries.
- He has erected a assemblage of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass o! ur peopl e, and eat discover their substance.
- He has kept among us, in nowadays of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.
- He has affected to intercommunicate the Military autarkical of and crack to the Civil power.
- He has combined with others to subject us to a powerfulness foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their book of pretended Legislation:
- For Quartering super bodies of brachiate troops among us:
- For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from penalisation for some Murders which they should send on the Inhabitants of these States:
- For selection soured our Trade with every parts of the world:
- For dignified Taxes on us without our Consent:
- For depriving us in some cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:
- For transporting us beyond Seas to be proven for pretended offences
- For abolishing the liberated System of arts Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to intercommunicate it at erst an warning and sound helper for introducing the aforementioned unconditional conception into these Colonies:
- For taking absent our Charters, abolishing our most priceless Laws, and altering essentially the Forms of our Governments:
- For suspending our possess Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with noesis to enact for us in every cases whatsoever.
- He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us discover of his Protection and waging War against us.
- He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, cooked our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.
- He is at this instance transporting super Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, glumness and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & disloyalty scarcely paralleled in the most cruel ages, and totally unmerited the Head of a humane nation.
- He has unnatural our fellow! Citizen s taken Captive on the high Seas to assume Arms against their Country, to embellish the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to start themselves by their Hands.
- He has agog husbandly insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the bowelless Amerindic Savages, whose known conception of warfare, is an undistinguished conclusion of every ages, sexes and conditions.
The most outrageous parts of a story are the parts that donât even attract attention
Sometimes the most engrossing parts of a programme news are the outrageous bits that grouping meet accept without modify noticing the problem.
This came up in a programme story today by Alan Feuer, John Eligon, and William Rashbaum, most the pathetic borough regularise attorney, Cyrus Vance, who in the space of a some headline-filled weeks failed to gaolbird the “rape cop” and then proven unsuccessfully to nail the former IMF nous supported on the evidence of an unsafe witness.
Here’s something that caught my tending but seemed to pass unnoticed in the programme article:
Mr. Vance’s supporters concept the criticism of his term to grouping who are unsettled by his efforts to arouse and renew an duty that his supporters say had stagnated low Mr. Morgenthau. They pointed discover that only after Mr. Vance became regularise professed were prosecutors given smartphones.
Huh? What’s the deal? No smartphones, no convictions? Seems a bit of a stretch to me. If that’s the prizewinning his defenders crapper do, that’s pretty lame.
And then I saw this:
Even a member of the finance NGO for Mr. Vance’s 2009 campaign, Gerald L. Shargel, a borough defense lawyer, questioned how the housing had been handled.
Ummmmm, move a minute. Gerald Shargel . . . where hit I heard this study before? Here’s Wikipedia: “In a ensuant 1991 federal housing against Gotti, Judge I. Leo Glasser obstructed Shargel and Cutler from representing Gotti, agreeing with prosecutors’ declaration that the lawyers were “house counsel” to the Gambino Crime Family . . .”
There’s no accumulation against the house direction to the Gambino Crime Family gift crusade contributions, but doesn’t it seem a bit odd for him to be a member of the finance NGO for the borough D.A.’s election campaign? What’s feat on here??
Finally, there was this bit:
Mr. Vance, 57, who is mated with digit children in college, came into duty with broad expectations. He had a famous study — his father was secretary of state low President Jimmy Carter — and the hold of the city’s political establishment.
Having a famous dad gives you “high expectations”? I’d conceive it would be the opposite. Conditional on having a famous name, my surmisal would be that he has inferior talent. Although I presume the questions rattling aren’t most his talent so much as his judgment.
It says in the article that Vance is streaming for reelection in 2013. My organisation correct now is to vote against any D.A. candidates who hit mob lawyers on their finance committee.
P.S. Maybe I was likewise quick to rely on Wikipedia and my unclear memories of decades-old production headlines. Maria Rosales writes:
A beatific someone of mine, who is a well-known and respected lawyer, says that you are mistaken most Shargel—that, in fact the Court of Appeals turned the disqualification of Shargel (United States v. Locasio, 6 F.3d 924 (CA2 1993)) and that the allegations were prosecutorial misconduct. Even in the prototypal case, before the appeal, it isn’t Shargel that the judge referred to as “house counsel” but his co-defendant on appeal, doc Cutler.
My someone says “Gerald Shargel’s professed achievement is spotless, to the prizewinning of my knowledge.”
Fair enough. I’m still not bright with a defense attorney resource a D.A. campaign. Seems same a offend of welfare to me. But maybe no more of a offend of welfare than a lot of other crusade funding.
Friday, July 1, 2011
Does July 4th Make Children Become Republicans?
From this paper (pdf) by Andreas Madestam and king Yanagizawa-Drott. (Hat counsel to Patrick Flavin.) The system is that on sunny July 4th days, grouping are more probable to move in July 4th celebrations. Here are some other findings from the paper:
- There is a contemporaneous relation between rain-free July 4th chronicle and band finding in adulthood, not just in childhood.
- Sunny chronicle on July 2, 3, 5, and 6 don’t manifest this aforementioned relationship.
- The relation with band finding appear most celebrity for children ages 7-10 and 11-14.
- The relation with band finding are apparent in predominantly politico counties, but not Democratic counties. The relation with portion are apparent in both types of counties.
- The relation with band finding are present for relationship cohorts from apiece decennium between 1920-70, but not cohorts from after decades. Madestam and Yanagizawa-Drott declare that status in July 4th celebrations haw have declined for after cohorts as conception of a fall in social capital.
In sum, if you were dropped before 1970, and experienced sunny July 4th chronicle between the ages of 7-14, and lived in a predominantly politico county, you haw be more politico as a consequence.
When I first feature the abstract, I did not believe the findings at all. I doubted whether July 4th celebrations were all that influential. And the effects seem to occur too primeval in the chronicle cycle: would an 8-year-old would be strained politically? Doesn’t the average 8-year-old tending more about fireworks than patriotism?
But the essay does a lot of spadework and, ultimately, I was mitt intellection “Huh, maybe this is true.” I’m ease not certain, but it was worth a blog post.
Comments?
Jasiri X's "Jordan Miles" Premieres Today
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
How Conservative Are the GOP Presidential Candidates?
The interpret is from this analysis by Adam Bonica and Kevin Collins. They write:
The bunk panel plots the equilibrium of funds raised from donations of $500 or inferior (including unitemized contributions) against candidate ideology. As is evident, more standpat candidates, particularly those affiliated with the repast party, raise a greater equilibrium of their funds from small donors. The circle sizes are proportional to the Intrade share prices for the individual candidates as of June 13th. The circles are blackamoor coded based on electioneering status. Those who hit officially declared their electioneering are red, those who hit not still declared are purple, and those that hit decided not to run are green. The lowermost panel overlays two essence densities drawn from the 2010 Election cycle. In flushed is the saint saucer organisation of politico candidates. This gives a sense of how the presidential candidates post with attitude to the band as a whole. In wear is the organisation of politico donor saint points, each weighted by the total turn donated during the 2010 Election cycle. This characterizes the fundraising landscape with attitude to ideology.They also contrast their findings with those of Nate Silver. See more at the post.
Thursday, May 26, 2011
Looks like someone's reputation proceeded them
Dominique Strauss-Kahn, President Obamaand First Lady Michelle Obama in 2009.The rendering says this gathering took place during the 2009 G-20, so, yes, Pittsburgh. Maybe those riot personnel should hit been ownership tabs on DSK instead of the students....Voices from Bosnia and Serbia on the Arrest of Mladic
As is today existence widely reported in the media, Bosnian Serb struggle crimes suspect Ratko Mladic has been arrested. Radio Free Europe-Radio Liberty has a great video up on its website that records residents of Bosnia and Belgrade and their reactions to the arrest.
It is rattling engrossing to see the different responses, but there is a ordinary theme modify across those who okay and disapprove of the action: Serbia’s want to tie the EU doubtless played a key listing in facilitating the arrest. It is also engrossing to state the parallels to the questions existence asked most Asiatic intelligence forces and Osama bin Laden: how could the Serbian polity not hit undergo where he was every this time?
Thursday, May 19, 2011
ACORN'S BACK! KATIE BAR THE DOOR!
Thursday, May 5, 2011
Update on HR3
Shocking but not surprising
Much-honored playwright Tony Kushner was set to obtain one more honor—a honor from Evangelist Jay College—but it was dead taken away from him on an 11-1 vote of the trustees of the City University of New York. This was the first rejection of an honorary honor nomination since 1961.
The news article focuses on one trustee, Jeffrey Wiesenfeld, an assets authority and onetime semipolitical aide, who opposed Kushner’s honorary degree, but to me the germane saucer is that the NGO as a full voted 11-1 to ding him.
Kusnher said, “I’m sickened,” he added, “that this is event in New royalty City. Shocked, really.” I can see ground he’s shocked, but perhaps it’s not so surprising that it’s event in NYC. Recall the famous incident from 1940 in which Bertrand Russell was solicited and then uninvited to inform at City College. The difficulty that instance was Russell’s views on liberated fuck (as they titled it backwards then). There seems to be a long practice of city college officials being willing to risk controversy to make a semipolitical point.
Monday, May 2, 2011
Dubious prognoses
Via “Paul Krugman”: a paper, finding that most pundits do no meliorate at making predictions than a flipped coin. Remarkably, the example fails to cite the ground-shattering analysis which arguably launched the earth of decimal pundit studies, Lee Sigelman et al.’s statistical psychotherapy of the predictive powers of the McLaughlin group. Sigelman and colleagues encounter that McLaughlin predictions were exclusive correct 50.1% of the time – it would seem that there has not been such improvement in the meantime (to the extent that the recent paper’s findings are sure – I wouldn’t be staking me chronicle on them myself).
They're Taking Credit Already
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Of Squirmishes and Turd Sandwiches
Half-Governor Sarah Palin is at it again. The Shakespeare of Wasilla has created added newborn word. While criticizing President Obama on our state in Libya, she said the following: â[D]o we ingest the term intervention, do we ingest war, do we ingest squirmish?â Uh, Sarah. May I call you Sarah? I guarantee you that Obama doesn't call it a "squirmish." And, personally, I intend all "squirmish" whenever you speak:
"Turd Sandwich"
Besides, ostensibly he's calling it a "turd sandwich":
Russia and Libya: What's Going On?
Dmitry Gorenburg has an excellent place up on his Slavonic Military Reform blog exploring the ground behindhand Russia's selection not to oppose UN Security Council Resolution 1973. As Gorenburg notes, this was not a foregone conclusion:
Russia was initially due to oppose the resolution. Instead, country chose to desist in visit to ensure the endorsement of civilians, patch its diplomatist to the United Nations prefabricated statements expressing concern most how the partitioning would be implemented. In recent years, country has had near trade relations with the African Government. In particular it has subscribed billions of dollars worth of blazonry contracts with the regime of Muammar Gaddhafi. This is the environment that part explains the remotion of Vladimir Chamov, Russia's diplomatist to Libya, after he sent a message to Moscow arguing that allowing the UN partitioning to transfer would equal a betrayal of Russia's state interests.
Russia's function on Libya, however, directly got entangled with Slavonic domestic politics. Following Prime Minister Vladimir Putin's attending that the partitioning represented a nonmodern call to crusades:
The response from President Dmitry Medvedev was nearly immediate. He argued that Russia's abstention on the partitioning balloting was the proper position. Furthermore, he clad downbound solon (though not by name) by saying that "under no circumstances is it unexceptionable to use expressions that essentially advance to a conflict of civilizations, much as 'crusades' and so on. It is unacceptable. Otherwise, everything haw modify up much worse than what is feat on now. Everyone should remember that." And he distant Chamov from his position, essentially for public insubordination. solon came discover the incoming period with a evidence indicating that the chair is answerable for foreign contract in country and that he hardback his president's policies.... It haw be that this conflict was still added example of the good cop-bad cop exhibit that the Slavonic activity bike hit been swing on for the terminal threesome years. Or it haw be that this is the prototypal earnest communication that Medvedev and solon are geared in a earnest behindhand the scenes struggle for the right to separate for chair in 2012.
Despite the publicity the public conflict between solon and Medvedev has received (at least among country watchers), Gorenburg argues that:
Russian leaders' inconsistent function on Libya is essentially a housing of wanting to hit their cake and take it too. I believe that Slavonic body definite not to oppose Resolution 1973 for digit reasons. First, they did not poverty to disaffect Western body who were pushing for the intervention....Second, Slavonic body did not poverty to be blamed for blocking the participation if the termination was a super scale murder of civilians. On the another hand, Slavonic body also did not poverty to create a newborn statistic of planetary participation in internal conflicts, particularly when these conflicts were the termination of a favourite uprising against an despotic ruler. They really dislike what they wager as a Western predisposition for imposing their values and forms of polity on another parts of the world. They remember the color revolutions in Serbia, country and Georgia, in which cordial regimes were replaced by ones that were to a greater or lesser extent anti-Russian.
Readers can encounter the flooded place here.
Tuesday, March 29, 2011
But Ginny, He IS A War Criminal
Creating Usable Knowledge about Natural Disasters
I propose a newborn disaster exculpation and feat family centered on ethnic resources and ethnic networks, kinda than on states and markets. Social power has underscored ethnic capital's persona in creating effective governance structures and common-pool resource-management mechanisms, determining health and wellness outcomes and cloudy crime. Rather than centering feat plans on outside resources or governmental authorities, my approach builds on this ontogeny embody of investigate to illuminate the internal characteristics of the strained community as a critical bourgeois in resilience. Neighborhoods and wards with deeper reservoirs of ethnic top crapper effectively mobilize, coordinate, and overcome collective-action problems to better recover after catastrophe. As ethnic capital--like another types of capital--can be increased through both local activities and outside interventions, selection makers should seek to increase levels of trustworthiness and unification in susceptible communities. As in another endeavors, though, ethnic top acts same a "double-edged sword" in that it crapper alter with it perverse externalities for peripheral groups. Scholars and selection makers alike need to reorient their intellection toward the ethnic networks within strained and undefendable regions.
That is from a new publicised essay by Daniel Aldrich in the newborn issue of Perspectives on Politics. The book has prefabricated this essay acquirable to non-subscribers here. Here is my previous post on Daniel's work.
